According to an estimate of GB83 the time-scale for the decrease of the orbital period of MT Ser due to gravitational radiation is comparatively short. Therefore, they urge other observers to obtain timings. The present light curves permit us to measure the epochs of six minima (a further minimum occurred a few minutes before the end of the observations, making an accurate timing difficult; therefore it is not considered here).
The individual light curves were fitted by a spline which was then evaluated to find the minima. The corresponding timings are listed in Table 2 which also includes the minimum epochs measured by GB83.
| HJD | E | O-Clin | O-Cquad |
| 2444703.9734 | -3347 | -0.003785 | -0.002478 |
| 2444705.9029 | -3330 | +0.000868 | +0.002168 |
| 2445082.9480 | 0 | +0.001618 | +0.001618 |
| 2445084.8715 | 17 | +0.000267 | +0.000261 |
| 2445087.9277 | 44 | -0.000651 | -0.000667 |
| 2445115.6691 | 289 | +0.000250 | +0.000145 |
| 2445115.7829 | 290 | +0.000823 | +0.000718 |
| 2445117.7061 | 307 | -0.000825 | -0.000937 |
| 2445117.8197 | 308 | -0.000450 | -0.000562 |
| 2445118.7249 | 316 | -0.001065 | -0.001180 |
| 2450683.4683 | 49463 | -0.002120 | -0.002217 |
| 2450686.4165 | 49489 | +0.002232 | +0.002145 |
| 2450686.5278 | 49490 | +0.000334 | +0.000247 |
| 2450687.4341 | 49498 | +0.000772 | +0.000688 |
| 2450687.5454 | 49499 | -0.001127 | -0.001210 |
| 2450688.4521 | 49507 | -0.000201 | -0.000281 |
The ephemeris determined by GB83 are accurate enough so that no cycle count ambiguities occur at the epoch of our measurements. The cycle numbers of the minima observed here are also quoted in Table 2. Combining the present minimum timings with those of GB83, the much longer time base permits us to determine a considerably more accurate period for MT Ser. Improved values for the minimum epoch, T0, and the period, P, were determined by minimizing chi2 of the O-C values of the minimum times. The revised ephemeris is:
| HJD (min) | = | 2445082.9461 | + | 0.113226533 | E | |||||||
| +- 4 | +- 15 |
Although according the to model of GB83 a change of the period due to gravitational radiation should only become detectable on time scales of 100 years or more, we also fitted a quadratic ephemeris to the minimum timings:
| HJD(min) | = | 2445082.94638 | + | 0.11326899 | E | - | 7.3630 | 10-12 | E2 |
|   |   | +- 37 |   | +- 12 |   |   | +- 25 |   |   |
The combined light curves, folded on the period P1 = 0.113226533 days (linear ephemeris), are shown in the upper panel of Fig. 1. Since it cannot be excluded that the true period is twice as long, the light curves were also folded on 2 P1 = P2, as shown in the upper panel of Fig. 2. In the P2 curve the minimum at phase 0.5 appears to be slightly less deep than the one at phase 0. Moreover, there is no indication of flat topped maxima as were seen by GB83 and taken by them as an argument against an ellipticity effect and thus against the longer period. Therefore, the present results appear to be slightly in favor of a true period twice as long as originally assumed. In this case the variations are expected to be due to an elliptical shape of the hotter star (which we will refer to as the primary regardless of its mass being higher or lower than that of the cooler star) and - as it turns out, see Sect. 5.2 - to eclipses, while in the other case they would be explained as a reflection effect off the illuminated face of the less luminous star. Evidently, this has a tremendous bearing on any model of MT Ser. We will not try to decide the question of the true period based on a visual inspection of the light curves alone. We will rather try to find solutions using light curve synthesis for both cases.